Investments

Silver Surges ₹13,000/kg in One Day, Gold Touches ₹1.60 Lakh

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Jaspal Singh

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10 March 2026
7 min read
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Silver Surges ₹13,000/kg in One Day, Gold Touches ₹1.60 Lakh
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Silver just had its wildest day in years. On March 10, 2026, silver prices surged by ₹13,000 per kilogram in a single trading session, jumping from ₹2,60,000 to ₹2,73,000/kg on the MCX. Meanwhile, gold continued its record-breaking run, rising ₹1,700 to touch ₹1,60,000 per 10 grams — still below its all-time high of ₹1,76,000 reached on January 29, but firmly in record territory.

If you own gold or silver — as jewellery, coins, ETFs, or digital gold — here is what drove this rally, whether it will continue, and what you should do with your precious metals portfolio.

What Happened on March 10?

MetalPrice (March 7)Price (March 10)Single-Day Change
Gold (MCX, per 10g)₹1,59,000₹1,60,000+₹1,700 (+1.1%)
Silver (MCX, per kg)₹2,60,000₹2,73,000+₹13,000 (+5.0%)
Gold (international, per oz)$2,890$2,950+$60 (+2.1%)
Silver (international, per oz)$33.50$37.80+$4.30 (+12.8%)

Silver's 5% single-day move is extraordinary — it normally moves 1-2% in a day. Both metals have pulled back sharply from their January 29 all-time highs (gold at ₹1,76,000, silver at ₹3,86,000), and today's buying suggests investors are accumulating at lower levels amid the West Asia crisis.

Why Did Silver Surge So Much?

1. Safe-Haven Demand from Iran Conflict

Both gold and silver are traditional safe-haven assets — investors buy them when the world feels uncertain. The Iran conflict, oil price volatility, and global recession fears are driving massive flows into precious metals. But silver's move was amplified by additional factors.

2. Silver Has Industrial Demand

Unlike gold (which is primarily a store of value), silver has massive industrial use. About 50% of global silver demand comes from industry — solar panels, electronics, EVs, and medical devices. With global supply chains disrupted by the Iran conflict, fears of a silver supply shortage pushed prices higher.

  • Solar panels use approximately 20 million ounces of silver annually — and India's solar push is accelerating
  • EV batteries and electronics use silver for conductivity — demand is growing 8-10% annually
  • Silver mine output has been flat for 5 years while demand keeps growing — the supply-demand gap is widening

3. Gold-Silver Ratio Was Too Wide

The gold-silver ratio (gold price divided by silver price) had stretched to over 85:1 — meaning gold was 85 times more expensive than silver per ounce. Historically, this ratio averages 60-70:1. When the ratio gets too wide, silver tends to "catch up" with a sharp move. That is exactly what happened today.

4. Short Squeeze on MCX

Traders who had bet against silver (short positions) were forced to buy back their positions as prices rose rapidly. This short squeeze amplified the move — every buyer pushed prices higher, forcing more shorts to cover, creating a cascading rally.

Gold at ₹1.60 Lakh — How Did We Get Here?

Gold has been on a relentless rally since early 2024:

PeriodGold Price (per 10g)Return
March 2024₹65,000
March 2025₹89,000+37%
March 2026₹1,60,000+80% (1 year)

The key drivers for gold's rally:

  • Central bank buying — RBI, People's Bank of China, and other emerging market central banks have been aggressively adding gold to reserves
  • Geopolitical uncertainty — Iran conflict, US-China tensions, Russia-Ukraine war (now in its 4th year)
  • Rupee depreciation — gold is priced in dollars; when the rupee weakens (₹92/dollar now), gold in rupee terms rises even faster
  • Inflation hedge — with food inflation elevated and oil prices volatile, investors are seeking inflation protection

Should You Buy Gold or Silver Now?

The Case for Gold

  • Proven safe haven — gold has protected wealth through every crisis in history
  • Central bank support — as long as central banks keep buying (RBI added 70+ tonnes in 2025), gold has structural support
  • But it is expensive — at ₹1.60 lakh per 10g, gold is at all-time highs. Buying at peaks carries short-term correction risk

The Case for Silver

  • Industrial + safe-haven demand — silver benefits from both fear (geopolitics) and growth (solar, EVs)
  • Historically undervalued vs gold — the gold-silver ratio suggests silver has more room to run
  • More volatile — silver's 13% move today shows it can swing wildly in both directions. Not for the faint-hearted.

What Experts Recommend

Most financial advisors recommend keeping 5-10% of your portfolio in gold as an insurance policy against uncertainty. Silver is more speculative but can be a small addition (2-3% of portfolio) for those comfortable with volatility.

How to Invest in Gold and Silver

MethodProsCons
Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs)2.5% annual interest + gold returns, tax-free on maturity8-year lock-in, limited liquidity
Gold ETFsLiquid, no storage hassle, buy via dematNo interest, expense ratio (0.5-1%)
Digital GoldBuy from ₹1, instant liquidityGST on purchase, storage charges
Physical Gold/SilverTangible asset, no counterparty riskMaking charges (8-25%), storage risk, purity concerns
Silver ETFsEasy exposure to silver, liquidNewer products, lower AUM, higher expense ratios

For gold, SGBs are the best option if you can lock in for 8 years — you get 2.5% annual interest plus gold price appreciation, and gains are tax-free on maturity. Gold ETFs are better if you need liquidity.

For silver, Silver ETFs (Nippon India Silver ETF, ICICI Prudential Silver ETF) are the cleanest way to invest. Physical silver has high making charges and storage challenges.

What Should Existing Gold/Silver Holders Do?

If You Own Gold Jewellery

Do not sell for profit. Jewellery has making charges of 8-25% — you lose this when selling. Hold jewellery as a family asset and for personal use, not as an investment.

If You Own SGBs or Gold ETFs

If your gold allocation has exceeded 10% of your total portfolio due to the rally, consider rebalancing — sell some gold and redirect into equity or debt funds. Do not let any single asset class dominate your portfolio.

If You Own Silver

After a 13% single-day surge, short-term profit booking is likely. If you are sitting on significant gains, booking partial profits (selling 20-30% of your silver holding) is prudent. Silver is volatile — today's ₹2,73,000 could swing ₹15,000-20,000 in either direction within a week.

The Bottom Line

Silver surged ₹13,000/kg to ₹2,73,000 and gold rose to ₹1,60,000/10g — both driven by Iran conflict fears, industrial demand, and the rupee weakening past ₹92. For investors, gold remains a solid 5-10% portfolio allocation for long-term wealth protection. Silver is more speculative but structurally supported by solar and EV demand.

Do not chase the rally by putting large amounts into gold or silver at current prices. Instead, use SIPs in gold funds to average your buying price over time — the same strategy that works for equity mutual funds works for gold too.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Precious metal prices are highly volatile. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions. Data is based on MCX closing prices as of March 10, 2026.

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Jaspal Singh

Helping Indians make better financial decisions through simple, actionable advice.